Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match.