Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.