Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
