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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Romania national football team

Finland
1 - 1
Romania

Pukki (12')
Kamara (61'), Schuller (71'), Kallman (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tanase (52')
Rus (41'), Marin (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Finland and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Romania

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Romania 0-3 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Finland 1-1 Romania

 Romania's only points in this group have come against Finland, but this will be a different proposition for Iordanescu's side on their travels. A point would be a better result for Finland considering how Group 3 is shaping up, and we are expecting the two teams to share the spoils on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Romania had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FinlandDrawRomania
52.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.88% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 24.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)46.87% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.073 -0.07)69.12% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)17.98% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-0.061 -0.06)48.83% (0.061 0.06)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)33.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)70.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Finland 52.08%
    Romania 24.05%
    Draw 23.87%
FinlandDrawRomania
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.05%

How you voted: Finland vs Romania

Finland
58.4%
Draw
29.2%
Romania
12.4%
178
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League B3
Romania
1-0
Finland
Bancu (30')
Puscas (60'), Nita (86'), Iordanescu (88')

Alho (7'), Pohjanpalo (78')
Jun 5, 2018 6.30pm
Romania
2-0
Finland
Manea (37'), Deac (61')
Anton (47'), Tatarușanu (78'), Balasa (78')

Soiri (82')
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Group F
Romania
1-1
Finland
Hoban (91')
Hoban (71')
Pohjanpalo (66')
Pohjanpalo (49'), Halsti (54'), Toivio (73'), Hetemaj (82')
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Group F
Finland
0-2
Romania

Ring (52')
Ring (56')
Stancu (54', 83')
Tanase (8'), Stancu (44')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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