National League | Gameweek 39
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor
Torquay Utd5 - 1Notts County
Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and Notts County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southend 1-1 Torquay Utd
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Bromley | 44 | 8 | 67 |
| 11 | Torquay United | 44 | 12 | 66 |
| 12 | Yeovil Town | 44 | -3 | 59 |
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Halifax Town | 44 | 27 | 84 |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
| 44.92% | 25.77% | 29.31% |
| Both teams to score 52.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
