Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rochdale in this match.