Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Eastleigh |
59% ( 0.22) | 22.04% ( -0.17) | 18.96% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.93% ( 0.66) | 45.07% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.58% ( 0.63) | 67.42% ( -0.64) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 0.3) | 14.92% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.69% ( 0.56) | 43.31% ( -0.56) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% ( 0.33) | 37.63% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( 0.32) | 74.41% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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