Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.