Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.