Hemel Hempstead

1 - 3

Ebbsfleet

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.