Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Spennymoor Town | 41 | 2 | 57 |
11 | Hereford United | 41 | 0 | 55 |
12 | Southport | 41 | 0 | 54 |
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Gloucester City | 41 | -13 | 45 |
18 | Bradford Park Avenue | 41 | -19 | 44 |
19 | Blyth Spartans | 41 | -35 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
60.38% | 22.25% | 17.37% |
Both teams to score 49.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% | 48.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% | 70.54% |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% | 15.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% | 44.58% |
Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.58% | 41.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.07% | 77.93% |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
1-0 @ 12% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 6.09% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.37% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.69% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.37% |