National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton3 - 2Southport
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chorley 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Southport 0-4 King's Lynn
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Southport had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
65.18% ( 0.09) | 20.04% ( -0.02) | 14.79% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.38% ( -0.03) | 43.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.99% ( -0.03) | 66.01% ( 0.02) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( 0.01) | 12.59% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.32% ( 0.03) | 38.68% ( -0.04) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.12% ( -0.11) | 41.88% ( 0.11) |