Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.