Major League Soccer

Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union

Although Philadelphia have secured six points from their last three road matches, facing an in-form Orlando could scupper the playoff-chasing side's prospects. While their goalscoring proficiency away from home could see them score for the eighth road match in succession, the home side will back themselves to notch a fourth consecutive victory at Euphoria Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
66.57% ( -0.16)	18.86% ( 0.09)	14.57% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.35% (

-0.25)

38.66% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.04% (

-0.27)

60.96% (

0.26)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23% (

-0.11)

10.77% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.23% (

-0.25)

34.77% (

0.25)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

-0.06)

39.07% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

-0.05)

75.79% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 66.56%

Philadelphia Union 14.57%

Draw 18.86%

Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.41% Total : 66.56%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.86%	1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.57%