Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
29.31% | 25.41% | 45.28% |
Both teams to score 53.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% | 49.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.41% | 71.59% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% | 30.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% | 67.28% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% | 21.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.88% | 55.12% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 7.83% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |