Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Angers had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Monaco |
30.25% | 27.29% | 42.46% |
Both teams to score 48.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.41% | 56.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% | 77.56% |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.07% | 33.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.39% | 70.6% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% | 26.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% | 61.49% |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.25% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |