Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 1Tijuana
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Puebla
Wednesday, August 3 at 2am in Liga MX
Wednesday, August 3 at 2am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Tigres | 6 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 14 |
4 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Puebla | 7 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Pachuca | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
53.95% ( -0.32) | 24.98% ( 0.14) | 21.07% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 47.38% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( -0.31) | 54.3% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( -0.26) | 75.69% ( 0.26) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( -0.25) | 20.1% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% ( -0.4) | 52.36% ( 0.4) |
Club Tijuana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.3% ( 0.02) | 40.7% ( -0.02) |