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Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 1
Tijuana

Gonzalez (34'), Meneses (49'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Baeza (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopez (23')
Diaz (29'), Canelo (71'), (90+4')
Diaz (74')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Puebla
Wednesday, August 3 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
53.95% (-0.325 -0.32) 24.98% (0.138 0.14) 21.07% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 47.38% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7% (-0.311 -0.31)54.3% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (-0.259 -0.26)75.69% (0.259 0.26)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-0.253 -0.25)20.1% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)52.36% (0.40499999999999 0.4)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (0.019000000000002 0.02)77.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 53.93%
    Club Tijuana 21.07%
    Draw 24.98%
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 13.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53.93%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.07%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-2
Tijuana
Rivera (39' og.)
Canelo (26'), Castaneda (45+2'), Rodriguez (63')
Ruiz (17'), Montecinos (85')
Montecinos (25'), Rodriguez (30'), Rivera (36'), Orozco (90+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
0-2
Toluca

Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
Sambueza (11'), Lopez (80')
Baeza (65'), Castaneda (75'), Luis Vanegas Zuniga (85')
Jan 31, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
3-2
Toluca
Manotas (13'), Martinez (21'), Sansores (24')
Lorona (43'), Manotas (74'), Tercero (86')
Canelo (37'), Barbieri (53')
Canelo (56'), Torres (67'), Sambueza (73')
Oct 25, 2020 6pm
Feb 8, 2020 3.10am
Tijuana
1-1
Toluca
Castro (68')
Barbieri (13'), Bolanos (59')
Estrada (88')
Chala (29'), Mora (80'), Hernandez (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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