Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.