Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.