Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 49.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Tijuana in this match.