A feel-good factor around Oldham with the return of popular manager Sheridan, as well as his first match being a derby against local rivals Rochdale, means we can see the home side managing to pick up at least a point in this one.
Both sides are in poor form though, and have struggled to score many goals of late, so a nervy but feisty encounter is to be expected with little action in front of goal, and so we are predicting a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
