Dundalk

3 - 2

Shelbourne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.