Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.