Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.