MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 11:22:53| >> :600:45783026:45783026:
Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Jamaica national football team

Guatemala
0 - 1
Jamaica


Ardon (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bell (51')
Bernard (31'), Lambert (45+3'), Burke (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-3 Guatemala
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 5-0 Saint Kitts
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica

 Guatemala have defied the odds countless times at the Gold Cup this year, but we believe this is where their journey will end. The Jamaicans might find it difficult to penetrate a well-organised Guatemalan backline, though the Reggae Boyz are a well-rounded group themselves with many players capable of stepping up in big moments, which is why we expect them to advance into the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Jamaica in this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawJamaica
63.18%22.15%14.67%
Both teams to score 44.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44%52.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79%74.21%
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91%16.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52%45.48%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.5%47.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.14%82.86%
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 63.17%
    Jamaica 14.67%
    Draw 22.15%
GuatemalaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 13.96%
2-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 5.78%
4-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.98%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 63.17%
1-1 @ 10.39%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 5.69%
1-2 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 2.12%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 14.67%

How you voted: 1st position Group D vs 2nd position Group A

1st position Group D
28.0%
Draw
12.0%
2nd position Group A
60.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 1am
Friendlies 2
Jamaica
P-P
Guatemala
rhs 2.0
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