MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:37:04| >> :60:57:57:
PSG logo
Friendlies
Jul 25, 2022 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka

PSG
6 - 2
Gamba Osaka

Sarabia (28'), Neymar (32' pen., 60'), Mendes (37'), Messi (39'), Mbappe (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 4-1)
Kurokawa (34'), Yamami (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's pre-season clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Gamba Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:
    Last Game: PSG 3-0 Urawa
    Saturday, July 23 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

    Gamba Osaka

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
    Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League

    We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Gamba Osaka

     While we are expecting Galtier to make a number of alterations, that should not influence the end result. Established players and emerging prospects will want to impress, leading us to predict a comfortable win for the French giants. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 4.55%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

    Result
    Paris Saint-GermainDrawGamba Osaka
    85.25% (0.652 0.65) 10.2% (-0.343 -0.34) 4.55% (-0.3111 -0.31)
    Both teams to score 42.61% (-1.008 -1.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    69.93% (0.114 0.11)30.06% (-0.118 -0.12)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    48.73% (0.138 0.14)51.27% (-0.141 -0.14)
    Paris Saint-Germain Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    95.1% (0.131 0.13)4.89% (-0.1341 -0.13)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    80.34% (0.40299999999999 0.4)19.65% (-0.405 -0.41)
    Gamba Osaka Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    44.8% (-1.125 -1.13)55.19% (1.122 1.12)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    12% (-0.681 -0.68)88% (0.678 0.68)
    Score Analysis
        Paris Saint-Germain 85.25%
        Gamba Osaka 4.55%
        Draw 10.2%
    Paris Saint-GermainDrawGamba Osaka
    3-0 @ 12.36% (0.25 0.25)
    2-0 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
    4-0 @ 9.33% (0.272 0.27)
    1-0 @ 8.15% (0.02 0.02)
    3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
    2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.167 -0.17)
    5-0 @ 5.63% (0.214 0.21)
    4-1 @ 5.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
    5-1 @ 3.35% (0.016 0.02)
    6-0 @ 2.83% (0.131 0.13)
    3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
    6-1 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
    4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
    7-0 @ 1.22% (0.067 0.07)
    5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
    Other @ 3.39%
    Total : 85.25%
    		1-1 @ 4.84% (-0.156 -0.16)
    0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
    2-2 @ 2.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
    Other @ 0.48%
    Total : 10.2%
    		0-1 @ 1.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
    1-2 @ 1.44% (-0.097 -0.1)
    Other @ 1.5%
    Total : 4.55%

    How you voted: PSG vs Gamba Osaka

    Paris Saint-Germain
    89.7%
    Draw
    10.3%
    Gamba Osaka
    0.0%
    29
    rhs 2.0
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