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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 24, 2021 at 11.30am UK
 

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Hatayspor

Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')

Preview: Fatih Karagumruk vs. Hatayspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor will be aiming to build on promising starts to the Turkish Super Lig season when they meet on Sunday.

The hosts are fifth in the table on 17 points, while the visitors sit second on 19 points.


Match preview

Both clubs were promoted from the second tier in 2020 and have earned several plaudits for the impact they have made on the top flight.

Fatih Karagumruk finished eighth last season and are managed by 32-year-old Francesco Farioli, who became the youngest manager in a professional European league when he was appointed in March.

Farioli is reportedly already being eyed up by clubs in his homeland of Italy, having transformed Fatih Karagumruk into an attacking, possession-based side.

The Istanbul-based outfit have won four of their last six games, with Yann Karamoh's early goal securing a 1-0 victory over Altay last weekend.

Only Besiktas have picked up more points at home this season than Fatih Karagumruk, who have collected 10 points from a possible 12 at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium.

Hatayspor's rise over the last few years is perhaps even more impressive; last season was their first ever top flight campaign and they finished sixth.

Now the Antakya-based side are mounting a surprise early title challenge and sit two points behind leaders Trabzonspor after the opening nine games.

The man in the dugout is Omer Erdogan, a former Fatih Karagumruk boss, who has led Hatayspor to six wins from their last seven matches – including a 2-1 victory over Gaziantep on Monday.

Hatayspor have the best defence in the Turkish Super Lig with just seven goals conceded so far this season, while they have won their last three away matches 2-0.

Fatih Karagumruk Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Hatayspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Former Juventus and Bayern Munich centre-back Mehdi Benatia remains sidelined through injury for Fatih Karagumruk, so Burak Bekaroglu will continue to deputise in the centre of defence.

Full-back Jure Balkovec is pushing for a recall, while Erhun Oztumer has lost his place in recent weeks and will be eager to get back into the starting lineup.

Fatih Karagumruk goalkeeper Emiliano Viviano and Hatayspor shot stopper Munir both have four clean sheets to their name this season – the joint-most in the Turkish Super Lig.

Mehdi Boudjemaa is available again for Hatayspor after being suspended for the game against Gaziantep on Monday.

Mohammed Kamara has come off the bench to score in each of the last two matches so may have earned himself a start on Sunday.

Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Balkovec, Bekaroglu, Zukanovic, Erkin; Biglia; Musa, Durmaz, Bertolacci, Karamoh; Pesic

Hatayspor possible starting lineup:
Munir; Corekci, Kurucuk, Oksuz, Adekugbe; Ribeiro, Boudjemaa; Lobzhanidze, Traore, El Kaabi; Diouf


SM words green background

We say: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Hatayspor

This should be a fascinating encounter between two really exciting sides. Both teams have started the season in strong form which makes it a difficult game to predict, but we think they will cancel each other out and it will end level.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:468041:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6776:
Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Hatayspor

Fatih Karagumruk
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Hatayspor
20.0%
10
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8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
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11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
13KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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