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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lner Community Stadium

York City
2 - 1
Chester

John-Lewis (5', 66')
Akinyemi (39'), Stockdale (85'), John-Lewis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glendon (71')
Glendon (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between York City and Chester FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Fylde 0-2 York City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Chester FC

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Chester
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North

We said: York City 2-1 Chester FC

 This is a really difficult match to call, as Chester demonstrated in their clash earlier this month that they can compete with York. The home side can call upon the greater quality, though, and we are expecting the National League side to shade a close match on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for York City.

Result
York CityDrawChester FC
38.79% (-1.122 -1.12) 25.71% (-0.149 -0.15) 35.5% (1.264 1.26)
Both teams to score 55.16% (0.714 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.825 0.82)48.95% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.74 0.74)71.03% (-0.748 -0.75)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.221 -0.22)24.8% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (-0.305 -0.31)59.38% (0.298 0.3)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (1.155 1.16)26.64% (-1.163 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (1.507 1.51)61.87% (-1.515 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    York City 38.79%
    Chester FC 35.5%
    Draw 25.7%
York CityDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.377 -0.38)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.79%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.5%

How you voted: York City vs Chester

York City
68.3%
Draw
17.1%
Chester FC
14.6%
41
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Chester
0-0
York City
John-Lewis (54')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Chester
0-1
York City
John-Lewis (68')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
York City
1-0
Chester
Beck (42')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chester
0-0
York City
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
York City
2-1
Chester
Bunn (31'), Wright (69')
Weeks (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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