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Chesterfield
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Southend United

Chesterfield
3 - 1
Southend

Khan (6'), Croll (14'), Tshimanga (79')
Payne (48'), King (71'), Weston (85')
Miller (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Murphy (4')
Brunt (90+7')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Chesterfield and Southend United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawSouthend United
49.1%25.5%25.4%
Both teams to score 50.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93%74.07%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67%54.32%
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 49.09%
    Southend United 25.4%
    Draw 25.5%
ChesterfieldDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 9.05%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.4%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Southend
0-4
Chesterfield
Rowe (19', 40', 73'), Khan (49')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
0-4
Southend

Anderson (20'), Gardner (28'), Grimshaw (80')
Donohue (45')
Cox (15' pen., 67'), Wordsworth (57'), Fortune (71')
Atkinson (52')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Southend
0-1
Chesterfield

Coker (64')
Novak (89')
Banks (59'), Dimaio (88')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Chesterfield
3-0
Southend
Novak (8'), Ebanks-Blake (37', 62')
Herd (59'), Evatt (87')

Pigott (77')
rhs 2.0
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