MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:15:34| >> :600:6303408:6303408:
Israel national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Puskas Akademia Pancho Arena
Romania national football team

Israel
1 - 2
Romania

Zahavi (2')
Vitor (37'), Baribo (83'), Zahavi (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Puscas (10'), Hagi (63')
Coman (71'), Ratiu (78')
Mihaila (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Israel and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Israel 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland81216
2Romania8916
3Israel8-112
4Kosovo8110
5Belarus8-76
6Andorra8-142
All competitions
Last Game: Romania 4-0 Andorra
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Switzerland81216
2Romania8916
3Israel8-112
4Kosovo8110
5Belarus8-76
6Andorra8-142

We said: Israel 2-2 Romania

While Romania can settle for a draw on Saturday, the onus is on Israel to take the game to the Tricolours as they endeavour to claim the maximum points required to keep their top-two hopes alive. Both nations could not be separated in the reverse fixture two months ago and another closely-fought contest may be on the cards in Hungary, which could therefore see the spoils shared in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Romania had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
IsraelDrawRomania
38.76% (-0.101 -0.1) 27.06% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 34.18% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.125 0.13)54.76% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.102 0.1)76.07% (-0.102 -0.1)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.14700000000001 0.15)30.28% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (0.174 0.17)66.46% (-0.173 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Israel 38.76%
    Romania 34.18%
    Draw 27.06%
IsraelDrawRomania
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Israel vs Romania

Israel
42.9%
Draw
27.7%
Romania
29.5%
112
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Romania
1-1
Israel
Alibec (27')
Marin (56'), Dragusin (61'), Puscas (85')
Gluh (53')
Kanichowsky (89')
Mar 29, 2022 6.45pm
International Friendly
Israel
2-2
Romania
Dabour (57', 85')
Solomon (79')
Cicaldau (10'), Man (23')
Nedelcearu (79'), Rus (84')
rhs 2.0
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