Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki3 - 0Neftchi Baku
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbodj (60'), Harramiz (66'), Nacafov (83')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
| 47.76% | 24.64% | 27.6% |
| Both teams to score 55.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
