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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 16, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 4
River Plate

Scocco (36')
Fernandez (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De La Cruz (5'), Alvarez (61', 77'), Carrascal (72')
Zuculini (49'), Perez (58'), Angileri (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawRiver Plate
15.6%22.38%62.02%
Both teams to score 45.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17%51.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41%73.59%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24%45.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.47%81.53%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77%16.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27%45.73%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 15.6%
    River Plate 62.01%
    Draw 22.38%
Newell's Old BoysDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 5.8%
2-1 @ 4.13%
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.08%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.6%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 13.5%
0-2 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-3 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 5.82%
0-4 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-5 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.03%
1-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 62.01%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2019 12.45am
Gameweek 15
Newell's OB
2-3
River Plate
Lema (31'), Leal (36')
Fernandez (61'), Gentiletti (67'), Rodriguez (73'), Lema (80')
Fernandez (39'), Borre (65'), Scocco (71')
Pinola (50'), Fernandez (57'), Montiel (79')
Mar 3, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 21
River Plate
4-2
Newell's OB
Martinez (4'), Suarez (24'), Ferreira (36'), Scocco (76' pen.)
Pinola (61')
Rodriguez (33'), Leal (90')
Figueroa (87')
rhs 2.0
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