Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB0 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Boca Juniors |
30.07% | 26.69% | 43.24% |
Both teams to score 50.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |