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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 15, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Lanus
3 - 1
Barcelona

Cabral (31'), Sand (74'), Bernabei (82')
Perez (10'), Aguirre (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (77')
Mastriani (30'), Burrai (31'), Sosa (36')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Barcelona SC

Last Six:
    Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Barcelona
    Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

    Result
    LanusDrawBarcelona SC
    35.47%29.46%35.07%
    Both teams to score 43.59%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    36.63%63.37%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    17.26%82.73%
    Lanus Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    66.16%33.84%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    29.49%70.51%
    Barcelona SC Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    65.88%34.11%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    29.2%70.8%
    Score Analysis
        Lanus 35.46%
        Barcelona SC 35.06%
        Draw 29.46%
    LanusDrawBarcelona SC
    1-0 @ 12.5%
    2-1 @ 7.29%
    2-0 @ 6.78%
    3-1 @ 2.63%
    3-0 @ 2.45%
    3-2 @ 1.42%
    Other @ 2.4%
    Total : 35.46%
    		1-1 @ 13.45%
    0-0 @ 11.54%
    2-2 @ 3.92%
    Other @ 0.55%
    Total : 29.46%
    		0-1 @ 12.41%
    1-2 @ 7.23%
    0-2 @ 6.68%
    1-3 @ 2.59%
    0-3 @ 2.39%
    2-3 @ 1.41%
    Other @ 2.35%
    Total : 35.06%

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