Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
