Chinese Super League | Gameweek 29
Oct 29, 2023 at 7.30am UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan2 - 3Chengdu Qianbao
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Rongcheng.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-2 Beijing Guoan
Friday, October 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, October 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 Shenzhen
Monday, October 23 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Monday, October 23 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
38.16% ( -0.09) | 25.26% ( -0.01) | 36.58% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( 0.04) | 46.87% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% ( 0.04) | 69.12% ( -0.04) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( -0.03) | 24.2% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( -0.04) | 58.53% ( 0.04) |
Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( 0.07) | 25.05% ( -0.07) |