Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis have been tough to crack at the defensive end of the pitch and we expect another cagey affair at the Cairo International Stadium. However, playing on home turf should give the Koller's men a 12th-man advantage and we see them coming away with all three points with their home supporters cheering them on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.

Result
Al Ahly	Draw	Esperance Tunis
61.96% ( 0.01)	24.08% ( 0.02)	13.96% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 37.62% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.59% (

-0.1)

60.41% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.45% (

-0.08)

80.55% (

0.07)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.62% (

-0.04)

19.37% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83% (

-0.06)

51.17% (

0.05)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.66% (

-0.11)

53.34% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.14% (

-0.07)

86.86% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Al Ahly 61.95%

Esperance Tunis 13.96%

Draw 24.08%

Al Ahly	Draw	Esperance Tunis
1-0 @ 16.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 24.08%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.96%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs ES Tunis

Al Ahly

100%

Draw

0.0%

Esperance Tunis

0.0%

Head to Head

May 18, 2024 8pm

Final 1st Leg

ES Tunis

0-0

Al Ahly

Aholou (15'), Rodrigues (70')

Fouad (39'), Hany (39')

> Preview

Jun 26, 2021 8pm

Semi-Finals 2nd Leg

Al Ahly

3-0

ES Tunis

(Al Ahly win 4-0 on aggregate)

Maaloul (38' pen.), Sherif (56'), El Shahat (60')
Mohamed (15')

Chetti (36')

> Preview

Jun 19, 2021 6pm

Semi-Finals 1st Leg

ES Tunis

0-1

Al Ahly

Sherif (67')

> Preview

Form Guide

ES Tunis 0-0 Al Ahly

Urawa 2-4 Al Ahly

Fluminense 2-0 Al Ahly

Al Ahly 3-1 Al Ittihad

Al-Hilal 1-0 ES Tunis

ES Tunis 1-1 Guadalajara (6-5 pen.)

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Latest Preview Articles

Al Ahly
1 - 0
ES Tunis