Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.