Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg
May 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln0 - 1Holstein Kiel
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 31.43% | 24.41% | 44.16% |
| Both teams to score 58.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
