Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos1 - 2Fortaleza
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Santos
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Goias
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Fortaleza |
45.92% ( 0.61) | 27.12% ( 0.07) | 26.97% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.56% ( -0.6) | 57.44% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% ( -0.48) | 78.24% ( 0.48) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.03) | 24.98% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( 0.05) | 59.63% ( -0.04) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.88) | 36.97% ( 0.88) |