Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.