Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
