Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.