Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba1 - 1Bahia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Santos
Sunday, July 2 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 2 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Cuiaba 2-1 Bahia
Cuiaba's win over Santos last week would have provided a huge boost to the mood around the dressing room, and they will see this as a perfect opportunity to go back-to-back against a side that have been very poor on the road this season. With as many as eight players likely to be ruled out for the visitors and just a three-day turnaround time from their last match, fatigue could be a major factor here for Bahia, and we feel that they will come up short in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Bahia |
47.28% ( 0.03) | 27.66% ( -0.01) | 25.06% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.38% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
