Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.