Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Bahia win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.