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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
 
Zambia national football team

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Zambia

Aurier (67'), Kouame (76'), Sangare (89')
Sangare (45'), Boly (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Daka (90+4')
Mwepu (75'), Sakala (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

Last Six:
Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Comoros
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Zambia

Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Zambia

 Despite their injury woes, Ivory Coast boast a superior and more experienced squad and head into the weekend as firm favourites. While Zambia can be a hard nut to crack, we are tipping the Elephants to come away with an opening-day victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawZambia
61.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.67% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 14.98% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.71% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.5% (0.033999999999999 0.03)57.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.7% (0.029 0.03)78.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)50.05% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.31% (0.029 0.03)84.69% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 61.35%
    Zambia 14.98%
    Draw 23.67%
Ivory CoastDrawZambia
1-0 @ 15.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.35%
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 14.98%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Zambia

Ivory Coast
57.6%
Draw
15.2%
Zambia
27.3%
66
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2019 1.30pm
Zambia
1-4
Ivory Coast
Sakala (13' pen.)
Kodjia (29'), Michael Seri (41'), Cornet (57'), Bony (84')
Kessie (51')
Jan 18, 2018 4.30pm
Group B
Ivory Coast
0-2
Zambia

Yao (69')
Mulenga (8', 74')
Silwimba (71')
rhs 2.0
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