Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.