Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.