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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2023 at 4.15pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena
HJK logo

KuPS
2 - 1
HJK Helsinki

Veteli (18'), Savolainen (80')
Bispo (13'), Shichenje (61'), Popovits (82'), Tue Jensen (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keskinen (45')
Koskela (16'), Peltola (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KuPS and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mariehamn 0-2 KuPS
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-0 Haka
Saturday, April 29 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawHJK Helsinki
48.31% (0.10899999999999 0.11) 26.45% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 25.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.044000000000004 0.04)56.1% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.035 0.04)77.17% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74% (0.069999999999993 0.07)23.26% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.104 0.1)57.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (-0.052 -0.05)37.72% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)74.5% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 48.3%
    HJK Helsinki 25.24%
    Draw 26.45%
KuPSDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.3%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: KuPS vs HJK Helsinki

KuPS
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
HJK Helsinki
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
gameweek 5
HJK Helsinki
0-1
KuPS
Oksanen (31')
Dahlstrom (16')
Jul 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
HJK Helsinki
1-1
KuPS
Radulovic (63' pen.)
Yli-Kokko (90+3')
Bispo (6')
Hamalainen (61')
May 29, 2022 2pm
gameweek 10
KuPS
0-0
HJK Helsinki

Hamalainen (88'), Ikaunieks (90+2')

Hostikka (10'), Raitala (47'), Serrarens (77'), Murilo (90')
Oct 31, 2021 3pm
gameweek 5
KuPS
1-1
HJK Helsinki
Hamalainen (18')
Tenho (13')
Valencic (34'), Lingman (39'), Saksela (63'), Riski (90+4'), Keto (90+7')
Aug 29, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 21
HJK Helsinki
1-1
KuPS
Jair (86')
Riski (60'), Tenho (65')
Nissila (43')
Sebban (6'), Ricardo (29'), Rangel (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1KuPSKuPS540146242256
2IlvesIlves550056272954
3HJK Helsinki502344271745
4SJKSJK51134644240
5Vaasan PalloseuraVPS52124345-239
6HakaHaka51044043-338
Relegation Round
1Inter Turku531146341241
2Gnistan52124043-337
3Oulu52123240-828
4IFK MariehamnMariehamn52032744-1726
5LahtiLahti51223147-1624
6Ekenas IFEIF51312457-3319
 
Regular Season
1KuPSKuPS22135439221744
2HJK Helsinki22134541212043
3IlvesIlves22116545252039
4SJKSJK2210664033736
5HakaHaka2210573532335
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS229583436-232
7Inter Turku229493829931
8Gnistan228683234-230
9Oulu2256112636-1021
10IFK MariehamnMariehamn2255122038-1820
11LahtiLahti2231092638-1219
12Ekenas IFEIF2234151951-3213


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